The latest report issued Monday by the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) projects one in 10 adults could have diabetes by 2030 due to factors like aging and demographic changes, reported the Boston Globe. Currently, about one adult in 13 has diabetes, the advocacy group estimates.
That’s an increase from 366 million in 2011 to 552 million by 2030, according to the group’s Diabetes Atlas.
The new figure accounts for type I and type II diabetes as well as undiagnosed cases. Considering the new projections ignore the increasing rates of obesity, the IDF called its figures conservative.
The worst hit areas will be lower and middle-income countries, which account for 80 percent of people with the disease. The rate of diabetes is expected to spike by 90 percent in Africa, where infectious diseases were formerly the top causes of death.
“In every country and in every community worldwide, we are losing the battle against this cruel and deadly disease” said Jean Claude Mbanya, president of the IDF, in an announcement in honor of World Diabetes Day, November 14. “We demand that public and world leaders act on diabetes now.”